STRATEGIC MEMORANDUM
TO: Interested Parties
FROM: Brad Woodhouse, President, Correct The Record
DATE: November 13, 2015
SUBJECT: Polls Show Hillary Clinton Expanding Lead in Fight for Democratic Nomination Prior to Second Democratic Debate
Hillary Clinton’s lead in the Democratic primary is expanding. The past month has been filled with polls that show Clinton in commanding lead, pulling away both in early primary states and nationally. Propelled by a widely-praised performance in the first Democratic debate and her strong appearance before Trey Gowdy’s Benghazi Committee, Clinton’s favorability has jumped 14 points since the beginning of October.
Polls released the past two weeks paint a pretty clear picture: Hillary Clinton has had a really good month, and the momentum is clearly on her side. Voters from South Carolina to Texas to New Hampshire to Iowa agree: they want Hillary Clinton to be the next President of the United States.
POLLING:
Hillary Clinton maintains a durable lead in nearly every national poll, typically leading her closest opponent by more than 20 points.
- A new CBS/NYT poll shows Hillary Clinton leading the Democratic field by nearly 20 points.
- The latest Gallup poll shows Clinton with a net favorable of 63 points, up 14 points from October.
- A recent McClatchy/Marist poll shows Clinton beating all of the Republican contenders in head-to-head matchups.
- The most recent NBC/WSJ poll shows Hillary Clinton leading the Democratic field by a two-to-one margin.
Clinton’s support is strong in key states:
- A new Public Policy Polling pollshows Hillary Clinton leading the Democratic field by 54 points in South Carolina.
- The latest Monmouth University pollshows Hillary Clinton with a commanding 48 point lead over the rest of the Democratic field in South Carolina:
- 81 percent of South Carolina Democratic voters viewing Hillary Clinton favorably.
- 75 percent of black voters in South Carolina say Hillary Clinton is best-suited to handle issues of concern to the black community.
- In the latest Winthrop University poll, Hillary Clinton leads the South Carolina Democratic Primary by 56 points.
- The latest CNN/ORC pollshows Hillary Clinton holds an 18 point lead with Iowa caucus goers, leading the rest of the field among women by a 2-to-1 margin in the Hawkeye State.
- The most recent Monmouth University pollshows Hillary Clinton leading the New Hampshire Primary field by 3 points.
- A new poll from the University of Texas/Texas Tribuneshows Hillary Clinton with a strong 31 point lead in the Texas Democratic Primary
THE MEDIA AGREES:
“The 11 hours Hillary Rodham Clinton spent at the House Benghazi committee last month appears to have been time well spent: The former secretary of State has significantly improved her standing among key groups of voters, a new poll indicates.” [Los Angeles Times, 11/3/15]
“Clinton benefited from both the debate and the 11-hour Benghazi hearing, in which Republicans who intended to tear the candidate down actually did her an enormous favor.” [MSNBC, 11/3/15]
“I just don’t see any signs of weakness.” [Daron Shaw, 11/12/15]
CNN Headline: “In Iowa, Clinton and the outsiders hold the cards” [CNN, 11/6/15]
CNN Headline: “Hillary Clinton swamping Bernie Sanders in South Carolina, poll shows” [CNN 11/4/15]
“Clinton also stands as the most electable candidate in a general election.” [CNN 11/4/15]
“On the Democratic side Hillary Clinton continues to be dominant.” [Public Policy Polling, 11/10/15]
“Clinton’s up big with every segment of the Democratic electorate.” [Public Policy Polling, 11/10/15]
“Hillary Clinton trounces Bernie Sanders among Democratic voters in South Carolina.” [CBS, 11/10/15]
Politico Headline: “Poll: Hillary Clinton crushing Bernie Sanders in South Carolina” [Politico, 11/10/15]
“Hillary Clinton has increased her dominant lead within the Democratic Party’s presidential contest.” [NBC News, 11/3/15]